Central News Agency
2014-03-02 09:07 PM
The People's Liberation Army surpassed Taiwan's military in both quality and manpower in 2010 and by 2020, will possess the ability to defeat the island in warfare encompassing a broad range of fronts, according to the report by the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP's) New Frontier Foundation.
A combination of its growing military deployment against Taiwan, political acumen, strategies for binding the two sides more tightly economically, and "illusions" created through the media of ever-more peaceful cross-Taiwan Strait ties, China will successfully coax the people of Taiwan into thinking "there is only one China" and "bring Taiwan to its knees without even fighting," the report says.
The report gathered the opinions of 13 unnamed experts from home and abroad, five of whom have military backgrounds, think tank officials said.
DPP Chairman Su Tseng-chang on March 4 will propose strategies to counter the threats listed in the report, they added.
The paper, titled "A Report on China's Military Threats to Taiwan in 2025," also forecasts increasing hacking by China of Taiwanese computer systems in the next decade, which it said could wreak substantial damage to critical infrastructure.
It predicts that China's communications, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities will have developed by 2025 to an extent that will enable it to gain a complete view of the movements of Taiwan's military and to monitor the country.
By 2025, China will have 1,850 missiles aimed at Taiwan, the report says, including 1,400 ballistic missiles and 450 cruise missiles.
The report maintains that the PLA's short-range ballistic missiles will have been improved so much by 2025 that Taiwan's military will struggle to intercept them.
The Defense Ministry declined to comment on the report, but the ruling Kuomintang responded by saying that Taiwan-China ties are at their best in 60 years and that the military will not let down its guard or relax its preparations against any possible confrontations. (By Claudia Liu, Hsieh Chia-chen, Lee Shu-hua and Scully Hsiao)